Communications - Scientific Letters of the University of Zilina 2013, 15(4):58-62 | DOI: 10.26552/com.C.2013.4.58-62

Modelling Vulnerability of Transportation Network Using Influence Diagrams

Michal Titko1, Adam Zagorecki2
1 Department of Crisis Management, Faculty of Special Engineering, University of Zilina, Slovakia
2 Cranfield University, Department of Informatics and Systems Engineering, Defence Academy of the United Kingdom, United Kingdom

The transportation network (TN) is important to serve the national priorities such as economic sustainability and growth, but it as well plays important role in disaster management and is subject to hazards. The understanding of the TN resilience and vulnerabilities is important for the national security. In this work we focus on the notion of TN vulnerability. We propose the use of a decision-theoretic approach based on Influence Diagrams (IDs). We argue that the use of IDs (1) provides an improved framework for risk assessment through more elaborate combining probabilities and consequences, and (2) facilitates knowledge elicitation from human experts through a structured approach to the problem. The proposed methodology is intended to be applied to the critical infrastructure.

Keywords: vulnerability, transportation, critical infrastructure, influence diagrams

Published: November 30, 2013  Show citation

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Titko, M., & Zagorecki, A. (2013). Modelling Vulnerability of Transportation Network Using Influence Diagrams. Communications - Scientific Letters of the University of Zilina, 15(4), 58-62. doi: 10.26552/com.C.2013.4.58-62
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