Communications - Scientific Letters of the University of Zilina 2022, 24(3):E108-E121 | DOI: 10.26552/com.C.2022.3.E108-E121

Development of Mode-Wise Speed Prediction Models for Urban Roads with Side Friction Characteristics

Shishodiya Ghanshyam Singh ORCID..., S. Vasantha Kumar ORCID...*
School of Civil Engineering, Vellore Institute of Technology (VIT), Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India

The present study has developed regression models to study the impact of side friction factors on speeds of vehicles in urban roads. The factors that were considered are on-street parking, pedestrian movement, water stagnation, encroachment, poor road condition and wrong side driving. Three locations from Vellore and Chikmagalur cities in India were selected and vehicle speeds, side friction parameters and flow were collected through videographic survey for 6 hours duration. It was found that the speeds of vehicles were in the range of only 11-23 km/h due to side friction. The study has proposed a "simple arithmetic operand" method to overcome the multicollinearity problem and it predicts well, the speeds with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) between 8-29 %. The arithmetic operand method proposed in the present study can be applied in other fields as well to overcome the multicollinearity problem.

Keywords: side friction, vehicle speed, prediction, regression, multicollinearity, principal component regression

Received: February 1, 2022; Accepted: May 9, 2022; Prepublished online: June 13, 2022; Published: July 1, 2022  Show citation

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Singh, S.G., & Vasantha Kumar, S. (2022). Development of Mode-Wise Speed Prediction Models for Urban Roads with Side Friction Characteristics. Communications - Scientific Letters of the University of Zilina, 24(3), E108-121. doi: 10.26552/com.C.2022.3.E108-E121
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